Link ar1_turningpts to ar1_bayes and improve exposition#969
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Redone on top of the numpyro/JAX rewrite of ar1_turningpts (#584). - Cross-reference ar1_bayes from ar1_turningpts (overview, model setup, and posterior section) and add a forward {seealso} link back - Frame the posterior computation as the "conditioning assumption" of ar1_bayes, apt here since the path starts from an atypical y_0 - Match the AR(1) model introduction to the bulleted style of ar1_bayes (and write IID rather than i.i.d.) - Add a Conclusion and interpretation for the original/extended Wecker figures, tying back to the two sources of uncertainty Note: N_t is already defined and figures already use MyST captions in the rewritten lecture, so those earlier fixes are no longer needed. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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@mmcky This should be good to merge when green. |
📖 Netlify Preview Ready!Preview URL: https://pr-969--sunny-cactus-210e3e.netlify.app Commit: 📚 Changed LecturesBuild Info
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thanks @jstac -- merging now. |
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Better links
ar1_turningpts(Forecasting an AR(1) Process) withar1_bayes(Posterior Distributions for AR(1) Parameters), and tightens the lecture's beginning and (previously abrupt) ending.Redone on top of the numpyro/JAX rewrite of
ar1_turningpts(#584) — supersedes #967, which was based on the old PyMC version and had become unmergeable.Changes
Cross-linking
ar1_turningptsnow referencesar1_bayesin the overview, model setup, and posterior section, and treats the posterior construction more briefly rather than re-deriving it.ar1_bayes— apt here, since the initial path starts from an atypicaly_0 = 10.{seealso}fromar1_bayesback toar1_turningpts.Exposition
ar1_bayes(andIIDrather thani.i.d.).Note
The rewrite (#584) already defines
N_tand already captions every figure viamystnb, so two fixes from #967 are no longer needed here.🤖 Generated with Claude Code